A Quick Horse Racing System Based on Easy Percentages

August 13, 2015 By Leave a Comment

There is no substitute for good in depth handicapping if you want to make money betting on horse races, but if you want a quick and easy system to determine a horse’s chances of winning or running in the money, this will help you to win more.  First of all, horse’s like humans, are creatures of habit.  If you want to know what they’ll do tomorrow?  Look at what they did yesterday.

If a horse ran in the money 50% of the time in 30 races, what do you think the chances are of it paying to show today?  Did you guess 50%?  if so, go to the head of the class.  I know it’s not quite that easy, though, because if it was, all you’d have to do is find horses who have a fifty percent chance of showing and bet on them when their show price is over $4.  

While it isn’t quite that easy, it also isn’t rocket science to figure out when a horse will run true to form and win, place, or show, the same percentage as it has in the past.  You have to tie that percentage in with a few other simple handicapping factors.  First of all, as horse’s age, unlike fine red wines, they don’t get better.  After a certain age it is usually a downhill slide for horses, just as it is for all athletes.

The way to find a horse’s percentages is to divide its wins, places, shows, into it’s total races.  Naturally, if the horse is running on grass today, we want to use only its turf races.  The same is true for all weather tracks, etc.

Here is a simple system to use in the money percentages to find good value in the betting pools…

1. First, let’s say that after 5 years old, we start to expect a horse to start to decline.  Therefore, look for horses who are no older than 5 or 6 and you will probably be able to rely on their stats.  

2. Another consideration is recency.  Look for horses who have had at least one race in the last 35 days.  If it has had two or more races in the last 40 days, that’s even better.

3. If the horse is running on an off track, look at its off track stats and use them.

As I mentioned earlier, use the percentages to find value.  The way you do that is to determine the probability of a horse winning, placing, or showing and then see what it will pay in each position just before they go to post.  That is how you find good value in your bets and it only takes a few minutes to determine percentages for each race.  That’s it, quick and easy horse racing system to find profitable bets.  

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Bill Peterson has 13897 articles online and 13 fans

If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com/truecb.html and get the truth. Bill Peterson is a former horse race owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill’s horse racing material go to Horse Racing Handicapping, Bill’s handicapping store.

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A Quick Horse Racing System Based on Easy Percentages

August 13, 2015 By Leave a Comment

There is no substitute for good in depth handicapping if you want to make money betting on horse races, but if you want a quick and easy system to determine a horse’s chances of winning or running in the money, this will help you to win more.  First of all, horse’s like humans, are creatures of habit.  If you want to know what they’ll do tomorrow?  Look at what they did yesterday.

If a horse ran in the money 50% of the time in 30 races, what do you think the chances are of it paying to show today?  Did you guess 50%?  if so, go to the head of the class.  I know it’s not quite that easy, though, because if it was, all you’d have to do is find horses who have a fifty percent chance of showing and bet on them when their show price is over $4.  

While it isn’t quite that easy, it also isn’t rocket science to figure out when a horse will run true to form and win, place, or show, the same percentage as it has in the past.  You have to tie that percentage in with a few other simple handicapping factors.  First of all, as horse’s age, unlike fine red wines, they don’t get better.  After a certain age it is usually a downhill slide for horses, just as it is for all athletes.

The way to find a horse’s percentages is to divide its wins, places, shows, into it’s total races.  Naturally, if the horse is running on grass today, we want to use only its turf races.  The same is true for all weather tracks, etc.

Here is a simple system to use in the money percentages to find good value in the betting pools…

1. First, let’s say that after 5 years old, we start to expect a horse to start to decline.  Therefore, look for horses who are no older than 5 or 6 and you will probably be able to rely on their stats.  

2. Another consideration is recency.  Look for horses who have had at least one race in the last 35 days.  If it has had two or more races in the last 40 days, that’s even better.

3. If the horse is running on an off track, look at its off track stats and use them.

As I mentioned earlier, use the percentages to find value.  The way you do that is to determine the probability of a horse winning, placing, or showing and then see what it will pay in each position just before they go to post.  That is how you find good value in your bets and it only takes a few minutes to determine percentages for each race.  That’s it, quick and easy horse racing system to find profitable bets.  

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Bill Peterson has 13897 articles online and 13 fans

If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com/truecb.html and get the truth. Bill Peterson is a former horse race owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill’s horse racing material go to Horse Racing Handicapping, Bill’s handicapping store.

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Double Your Chances of Making a Profit At the Horse Races With …

October 2, 2013 By Leave a Comment

If you are one of the many people who are handicapping horse races and trying to make a profit, you would probably like to be able to double your profit without too much work.  The easiest way to do that is right under your nose. Before we discuss how to increase your profit, or perhaps to start actually making a profit, let’s talk about your record keeping.

Most of us don’t like the arduous task of keeping records, especially when we are playing the ponies.  For one thing, it takes a lot of fun out of it and secondly, it is a lot of tedious work.  This is where you have to make a decision. Are you a recreational horse player who just wants to wager on races and have some fun, or are you a serious horse player who wants to make a profit?  If you are doing it just for fun, then set aside an amount of money you can afford to lose and have a ball.

On the other hand, if you are trying to make it pay, you’d better keep track of the money.  Picking winners is fun, but finding good bets is how you actually succeed at horse racing handicapping. How will you know whether you’re doing a good job of it if you don’t know which bets that you make are profitable and which ones are losers?  Being able to eliminate bets that don’t show a profit is one quick way to increase your r.o.i., return on investment.

Now here is another way to increase profits dramatically and it only takes a few minutes.  First of all, find out how much each bet costs.  I don’t mean the amount that you risk, but rather the amount the track takes out of the pool.  The percentage of takeout, or vig as it is sometimes called, varies from track to track and state to state.  Paying over 20% at one track and around 15% at another can have a big impact.

Let’s say you make a profit of 10% and you’re playing at a track that charges 21% on the bets you make, moving your action to a track that charges 15% increases your results by 5%, which just happens to be a 50% increase in your profit.  That’s right, just by playing at a different track you may actually be able to increase your profit. 

You will also be voting for a lower takeout with your money.  If enough horse players do that and handles change according to the takeout, state lawmakers who set those figures will start to pay attention and start treating us as consumers and customers rather than thinking of us as sheep who can be easily led and who will accept whatever is given to us.

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Bill Peterson has 1 articles online

If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com/truecb.html and get the truth. Bill Peterson is a former horse race owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill’s horse racing material go to Horse Racing Handicapping, Bill’s handicapping store.

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Want to Win Money at the Horse Races, You Must Beat the Biggest …

July 28, 2013 By Leave a Comment

Trying to make a profit from the races?  You’re not alone. Everyday, millions of people go to the horse races trying to win money.  Almost all of them lose, and yet, day after day, and year after year, they keep coming back.  The reason is that the financial gain isn’t the only lure of horse racing.  It is also the thrill of winning which stimulates certain parts of the brain and actually releases certain neurotransmitters that make the winner feel pleasure.

Believe it or not, that is the biggest obstacle that most people have to making a profit at the races.  How can that be?  The reason is that the good feeling humans get when they win has nothing to do with making a profit.  You may go to the races with $100, lose most of it, but win the last race you bet on and walk out with $50, but still feel elated somehow.

Let’s be clear on what being a winner means and what making a profit means.  They are two different things.  Winning is simply picking a winning bet and cashing a ticket.  Making a profit means leaving with more money than you started with.  Many people cash tickets in the course of the day, but leave with less money than they started with.  Does this sound familiar?

Even if your rational self is saying, “This isn’t good, I just lost fifty bucks,” your irrational subconscious mind is also planning how it will get you back to the track to do it again if you felt that momentary, but powerful, thrill of winning.  That is what you must overcome because it will lead you to take bets that are not profitable in the long run, but have a high expectancy in the short term.

An example is a horse at 2-5 odds.  The horse will win enough times to give you many thrills, but rarely will they win enough to show a profit.  Many bet on them, however, just for the thrill of winning.  Perhaps, if you started calling these two acts by different names it would help.

From now on, think of cashing a winning ticket merely as cashing.  Think of making a profit as winning or you could call it profiting.  Once you learn to recognize both acts for what they are, you will have a chance to make a profit from your horse racing bets.  Unless a bet has a higher rate of return than the risk involved in making the bet, it is a losing bet, even if you cash.  Any bet that has a higher rate of return than the risk involved is a winning bet.

If you always ask yourself this simple question, you will be on the right road to success.  You must ask yourself this, “If I made this same bet ten times or a hundred times, would I get more money back than I bet?” That is the true key to winning or profiting.

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Bill Peterson has 12511 articles online and 11 fans

If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com/truecb.html and get the truth. Bill Peterson is a former horse race owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill’s horse racing material go to Horse Racing Handicapping, Bill’s handicapping store.

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The Best Horse Racing Bets Are Based on One Decision

May 31, 2013 By Leave a Comment

Learn how to make one decision correctly and you will succeed at horse racing handicapping.  That’s the good news.  The bad news is that decision is not easy.  Making a profit betting on horse races is difficult, but if you learn to always answer this one question correctly before you bet, you will have more winners and a better chance of staying ahead of the game.

You may think that the most important part of making money betting on horses is to know which horse will win the race.  If you are really good at picking winners that might be true or then again, maybe not.  What really matters is if you know how often any one of the runners in a race are likely to win and then if you can convert that to what I call fair value odds.

Fair value odds are high enough to return your money.  That in itself means the horse had to be under bet and underestimated by the crowd.  The reason is that any runner that is bet at exactly the odds equivalent to its probability of winning will still not return all your money.  The reasons the takeout and breakage, on in other words, the vig. So any horse that returns your entire bet amount is already a good deal.

Going one step farther, you want a wager that returns your bet amount and a profit.  In most cases that is a wager that is seriously underestimated by the crowd.  If the horse returns all your money it was probably at least 20% under bet.  Add a profit to that and you find a wager that is 25%-30% under the true value of the bet.  That doesn’t happen very often.

Though it is a rare occurrence, that is what you really need in order to succeed at horse racing handicaping.  Therefore, to sum it up, the most important decision is if the odds on a horse are high enough to make a profit on such horses if you bet them 10 times.  For instance, if the runner is expected to win once out of ten races, then it would have to go off at 9-1 in order for you to break even.  If the horse would win one out of five, then you would have to get 4-1 odds.  That is the only decision that matters.  You must know the answer to this question.  “If I bet such a horse ten times, would I make enough to pay for all my bets with a profit?”

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Bill Peterson has 9522 articles online and 6 fans

If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com/truecb.html and get the truth. Bill Peterson is a former horse race owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill’s horse racing material go to Horse Racing Handicapping, Bill’s handicapping store.

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The Easiest Horse Racing System is to Play the Percentages at Your …

May 16, 2013 By Leave a Comment

Do you like to have the odds of winning in your favor when you bet on horse races? If you said no, then there is probably something with you, perhaps you like to lose, or maybe you just don’t understand the question. It is so obvious, it does seem like a trick question. But if you are betting on horse races trying to make a profit, then you probably do want to have the odds in your favor.

So the next obvious question is, what are the odds? I mean the percentages of winning when betting on horse races. Simply put, how likely you are to win whenever you make a bet. Do you know what the percentages of winning when betting on the favorite? many people know that the favorite wins about one third of the time, but how about the second favorite?

Just because favorites win about a third of the time, it doesn’t mean that is the situation at your favorite track. That percentage varies from track to track, race type to race type, and season to season. At some race tracks, favorites win less than 30% of the time. In some types of races, favorites win more than 35% of the time.

If you want to have a better chance of winning, find out what the percentages are at your favorite track. There are too many tracks to list here and too many types of races. But there are statistics available online and through the providers of programs. Chances are, if you buy a program at your local track, it will have some of that information available.

Another way to learn what is winning at your track is by following the races yourself. Some track’s charts are published in a local newspaper so you can easily have a hard copy of the odds of each winner and also the conditions of the race, for instance, claiming for 3 YO Fillies, or Allowance for Horses, Colts, Gelding, 3 YO and Up.

Keep track of the statistics for each group and you’ll soon learn which races are the most formful and easiest to handicap. Then, use the stats to find the races where betting on the favorite is more advantageous and where betting against the favorite makes more sense.

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Bill Peterson has 1 articles online

The most consistent horse racing systems have to have the basics and a handicapper must understand the basics. I have been around horse racing for 50 years including as an owner. Without the basics the rest is not going to do any good. If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com/truecb.html and get the truth.

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What to do If Someone Doesn't Want You to go to the Horse Races …

April 7, 2013 By Leave a Comment

If you enjoy a day at the race track but your wife, girlfriend, husband, boyfriend or significant other doesn’t want you to go to the track, there are some things you should consider.  First of all, just how badly do you want to go to the horse races?  If it is just a slight desire, then why rock the boat?  There are many other things you can do for recreation that might not be a problem.

On the other hand, if you really want to go to the races or bet on horse races and someone doesn’t want you to do that, it is time to think about the reasons and answer some questions.  One of the first questions that comes to mind is, why doesn’t he or she want you to bet on the horses? It is a fair question, and knowing the answer may help you to decide whether or not to honor his or her wishes.

If you have a gambling problem and you are obsessed with betting and losing a lot of money, that person may only be concerned for your welfare.  It is hard to admit you have a problem or addiction, but trust me, there are millions of people who do have a gambling problem and who really should get into a twelve step program.  On the other hand, does he or she think you have a problem, but you don’t?  Before things get out of hand and you lose that person in your life, it might be a good idea to sit down and discuss it and use one of those lists that Gambling Anonymous supplies to tell whether or not you have a problem.  The truth can hurt, but it can also set you free.

If it isn’t a matter of a gambling problem, then what is the reason?  Is he or she jealous because you have something that you enjoy that doesn’t involve him or her?  You have a right to some free time and some fun, don’t you?  Maybe you could explain that having fun and letting off a little steam will improve your relationship because you will be more relaxed.

Maybe that person feels left out.  Did you ever think of asking him or her to accompany you to the races or to help you pick a few winners?  Don’t assume that he or she will say no and isn’t interested.  Even though that significant person in your life may have said derisive things about betting on horses or going to the races, he or she may change that tune when he or she picks a few winners and has a few laughs with you at the track.

The important thing is to realize that though the races are a lot of fun, the people in our lives are the most important consideration and give our lives the most meaning.  Asking the reasons why he or she doesn’t want you to go to the horse races is a good way to show that you care.  Discussing it and really listening is an excellent way to build a better relationship.

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Bill Peterson has 7176 articles online and 9 fans

If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com/truecb.html and get the truth. Bill Peterson is a former horse race owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill’s horse racing material go to Horse Racing Handicapping, Bill’s handicapping store.

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The Superlay Horse Racing System – The Perfect Solution For an …

December 13, 2012 By Leave a Comment

To a lot of people, making money online is something that seems out of reach. Most at-home jobs seem to be nothing more than elaborate schemes designed to take your money. Yet, there are legitimate ways to make money online. And one of them involves doing something that not many would suspect… betting on horse races through Betfair.

That’s right… it is possible to become a professional punter without even leaving your house. However, like anything else, you must learn how to master the craft. If you don’t know a thing about punting, you’re going to need to use a betting system to get started. And if you need help trying to determine which betting system to use, consider purchasing The Superlay Horse Racing System.

So, what can one expect to learn from The Superlay Horse Racing System? Basically, they will learn how they can pick the right bets with just 15 minutes of work each day. Nothing more, nothing less, though punters are free to put more time into it if they choose. By doing so, they could skyrocket their Betfair accounts even more.

As far as overall success rate, The Superlay Horse Racing System guarantees winning bets 92% of the time. Some punters get even better results, as they maintain consistent wins for several months. Yet, even a 92% success rate could change your life dramatically.

To put it into perspective, imagine if you bet on just 10 games. And let’s say your profit was $100 for each win. With The Superlay Horse Racing System, you would get access to that $100 for all of your games except for one. This means you would’ve made $900 without doing any real work.

Best of all, if you decide to compound your earnings, it’s possible you’ll never have to make any new investments. In fact, this is one of the best ways to gamble. It protects your personal assets while giving you an opportunity to put a little bit more money on the line. As a result, you get more generous earnings without risking too much of your own money.

In conclusion, with The Superlay Horse Racing System, you can make money online without having to suffer through tedious labor. Sure, you’ll have to invest a little bit of time into the system, but when you see how much money you are getting, you’ll realize that it was well worth it.

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Benjamin Street has 1 articles online

Benjamin Street invites you to read unbiased and genuine betting system reviews by the best people to ask – the buyers. If you would like to know if a betting system works before you buy it, and collect a free betting system whilst you are there, visit Betting Systems World today at http://www.bettingsystemsworld.com

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Playing Jockeys As a Horse Racing Handicapping Strategy

December 5, 2012 By Leave a Comment

I used to see an elderly gentleman from time to time at the race track that I frequented years ago and sometimes would strike up a conversation with him. He had some great stories about the famous horses he’d seen race and some of the famous men who rode them. While I worked very hard handicapping the races and betting for profit, he took a more leisurely approach and simply bet on a few jockeys and trainers who were consistently successful.

He had good days and bad days but at the end of the meet was usually up a few dollars while my efforts led to a more erratic result. He was not only a fan of racing, but also of the men and women who worked so hard to succeed at it. He was a good judge of character, as well and often spotted a newcomer that was going to make his or her mark. He would begin backing that one long before the crowd got wise.

When you think about it, unless you are working very hard to make a living by betting on horse races, there is a lot of wisdom in the approach of backing a few good riders and trainers. While I would invest in a Daily Racing Form and books that gave the latest sire stats and track models, he would simply buy a cheap program at the gate, scan it, and make his bets.

There were many days when he did better than I did, in spite of my handicapping heroics. He was always so calm and relaxed I wondered what kind of life had prepared him so well that he could simply bet on the people and then let things progress as they may without showing any real emotion. One day I finally got a chance to sit and chat with him and to finally work up the nerve to ask about his real life, something we handicappers are sometimes reluctant to do.

He had been an officer in the military and that was where he became a good judge of men. He had also learned to delegate to capable people and then to relax while they fulfilled their tasks. He was still doing the same thing, but instead of soldiers, he was trusting horse trainers and riders to carry out their orders.

Unfortunately, there came a day when he no longer returned to the track, but all was not lost. He had passed his wisdom on to someone else. I don’t bet strictly based on who will ride or train a horse, but I certainly take that into consideration and will not bet on low percentage trainers or reins men. After I make my bet, I don’t second guess the rider or conditioner. If I need reassurance I simply look at the numbers and realize that their decisions and ability have been proven in one of the toughest sports on earth and that is enough for me.

That gives me more time to look for good betting opportunities.

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Bill Peterson has 1 articles online

The most consistent horse racing systems have to have the basics and a handicapper must understand the basics. I have been around horse racing for 50 years including as an owner. Without the basics the rest is not going to do any good. If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com/ and get the truth.

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The Best Horse Racing Handicapping Books to Learn How to …

December 3, 2012 By Leave a Comment

There are many books on the market that claim to teach neophytes how to handicap horse races.  Some, by the big name writers, are insightful and offer some good information.  Others are worthless or even worse, dangerous because they are filled with misinformation or out dated statistics.  So how do you find the best horse racing handicapping books?

One way, of course, is to read the reviews.  The problem with that, of course, is just how reliable are those reviews?  On the biggest online sites for book sales, anyone can review a book, that includes the author’s wife, cousin, girlfriend, boyfriend, mother, you get the idea.  On the other hand, the competition can also sink your book by writing scathing reviews or hiring other people to do it as well.  Therefore, unless a review tells you something that you can verify, I advise you to pay them little mind and think for yourself.

You can open the books and look inside.  If you are using the biggest bookselling site on the internet, you can read a sample of the book even if you are looking at eBooks.  You will know very quickly by looking inside if the book has anything that interests you.  Here is what to look for…

Start with the author’s name and bio.  If you don’t see one, that’s a huge red flag.  My advice, pass that one by.  Handicapping authors are public figures and sell their books based on their experience and personality.  Let’s face it, the author is a very big part of the reason you buy a book.  If he or she can’t supply some basic information so you get to know him or her a little, then he or she obviously lacks credentials.

The next place to look is the table of contents.  No table of contents?  Pass it by.  If there is a table of contents, look at the subjects and see if any interest you.  Also think about how they are laid out before you and how orderly they might be.  When you are learning how to handicap horse races, you want your teacher to be able to express himself or herself clearly and methodically so you can follow along and learn.

After checking the table of contents, look at the first few pages and read what the author has to say.  Is his or her style readable?  Does he or she offer any actual examples to support the things he or she says?  This is the way to check out a book so you wind up with the best horse racing handicapping book and get what you pay for.

You will probably find some books that are well written, but just don’t cover the subjects you want to read about.  There’s nothing wrong with that.  Just make a mental note about the book so that if you ever want to read about those particular subjects in the future, you’ll know where to find the information.

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Bill Peterson has 9530 articles online and 5 fans

If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com/truecb.html and get the truth. Bill Peterson is a former horse race owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill’s horse racing material go to Horse Racing Handicapping, Bill’s handicapping store.

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