Three Winning Horse Racing Handicapping Tips

‘Tis the season to get jolly and offer a few tips to people who handicap horse races and try to make some money for the holidays.  If you are one of those people trying to make money betting on horses you know just how hard it is.  If you are using a system, and still losing, you’re not alone.  Many people use a system and still lose, but trust me, they lose less than people who use no system at all.

Here are a few horse racing tips that may help you to tighten up that system and start to receive rather than give at the betting windows.

1. First and foremost of all, keep track of your bets, money, and progress at the races.  IF you really are serious about making a profit, then this is a job or business.  Would you run a business without keeping track of the cash?  Of course not, but yet many people who are normally quite responsible turn into giddy sailors on a spending spree when they get to the track.  Why do they do that?  Because some people who are feeling repressed think that the race track is a good place to just let go and have a good time.

If you are at the races strictly for fun and have budgeted some “mad” money to bet with, there is nothing wrong with gambling with that money.  On the other hand, if you are really trying to make money, then the opposite is true.  You should be keeping records so you know what works and where the money goes.

2. KISS – or keep it simple stupid.  Don’t think that the road to riches is exotic bets.  While the payoffs may be very enticing, if you can’t even win with a simple win bet, how will you ever win with an exotic bet with multiple legs or runners?  They are called gimmick bets by people who take the game of horse racing seriously.  Stick with simple bets and master them first.

3. You better shop around.  The difference between success and failure at the races may be as little as a few percentage points one way or the other.  Let’s imagine that two people are standing in front of you and you have to buy your wagering ticket from one or the other.  You have $100 to bet.  Person A tells you that she will charge you $10 for the bet so you will actually only have $90 left to bet with.

Person B tells you that she will charge you $15 to bet so you will only have $85 to bet with.  Which person would you place your bet with?  Obviously, it would be person A.  You will win more money with a $90 bet than with an $85 bet.  You do make that decision every day when you decide which tracks to play.  Some tracks, depending on the state where they are located, charge different percentages.  Shopping around can make a big difference.  Find out what the takeout is at the different tracks and take your business to the best one.

Just following these three simple guidelines will help you to lose less and win more.  If you’re using a good system, but still not quite making it, these tips may put you over the top and you may just realize your dream of making money at the races.

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Bill Peterson has 1 articles online

If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com/sharpshooter2.html and get the truth. Bill Peterson is a former horse race owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill’s horse racing material go to Horse Racing Handicapping, Bill’s handicapping store.

Use Horse Racing Handicapping Videos to Learn How to Handicap

As the internet evolves, more tools are available to help you to learn how to handicap horse races.  Horse racing handicapping is one of the valuable skills that you can learn by watching videos.  While these files are readily available online, you can waste a lot of time watching useless videos that don’t really teach you anything.

Some of the videos are nothing more than a person sitting in front of a webcam telling you he has a great system and if you send him some money, you’ll soon be picking winners like picking apples off a tree.  While there are good horse racing systems available that will help you to be a better handicapper, let’s do a reality check.

As the old saying goes, if it sounds too good to be true, it probably is.  When it comes to making easy money, that is doubly true.  The easiest person to cheat in this world is a greedy person, because they will risk a little if they think they can get a lot without working for it. Unscrupulous people who sit in front of a webcam and tell you nothing useful, but want to get your money, are probably not to be trusted.

Here is the truth about learning how to handicap a horse race…

1.  It takes a lot of practice and there are no guarantees that you will be successful.

2. Nothing stays the same and what worked yesterday may not work today.

3. The best way to learn how to handicap is with a good system that teaches you…

a. the fundamentals of handicapping
b. money management
c. self discipline
d the factors of horse racing

4. There is no substitute for experience and no easy winners at the race track.

I have prepared some good videos that show the steps to handicap a horse race, how to determine class, and there are others available from reputable horse players.  The reason I offer these free horse racing handicapping videos is to introduce you to my methods and encourage you to use my horse racing systems that go into depth on these subjects.

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Bill Peterson has 1 articles online

If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://gamblingwillie.com and get the truth. Bill Peterson is a former horse race owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill’s horse racing material go to Horse Racing Handicapping, Bill’s handicapping store.

Horse Racing Handicapping Maiden Races and First Time Starters

Many people who handicap horse races and bet on them don’t like to play maiden races.  They feel that the runners are unknown quantities and therefore too difficult to evaluate.  While there is some truth to the fact that young horses have yet to prove themselves on the track, it is also true that what you see is what you get with maidens.

First time starters, runners who have never competed before, are the biggest problem.  Some people try to get a handle on how good they might be by looking at the sire and dam.  Certain sires are known for producing colts and fillies that win first time out, called precocious by fans of sire stats.  Sire statistics can also produce some information about how far a horse might be able to carry its speed as well as which surface it may prefer to run on.

Predicting precociousness is helped somewhat by morning works, or workouts, that show a young runner’s ability.  A good four furlong work showed a horse that is fit and ready to race. Combined with a pedigree that suggests the ability to win at first asking, good workouts often account for low mutuels.  This is especially true if the rest of the field shows no real stand out horses who appear poised to win.

This all depends upon the trainer, of course, and whether he or she wants the horse to win on its first try.  Some conditioners like to bring their young charges along slowly, allowing them to get some experience in the non-winners ranks before graduating and taking on tougher foes.  That is where a look at trainer statistics can come in handy.  If a trainer has shown a willingness to win with a youngster on its first try, and seems to have a horse bred for such a feat, then it may well be that the horse will be asked for a win by the rider.  Of course, if that is the case, you’ll expect to see the trainer’s favorite rider in the irons.

Obviously, all this is confirmed by looking at the record and statistics.  The only problem is that we still haven’t seen the horse in a real race.  On the other hand, looking at the rest of the field again may reveal one or more runners who have been racing for a while, perhaps with two or more races behind them, who seem to be slowly improving.  The problem with maiden horses is that they are still maturing and growing.  The rate of improvement may change dramatically from month to month, sometimes helped by a change in equipment or medication by a wise trainer.

I can’t say I’ve never bet a first timer, but I have to say that over time, I’ve grown very leery of it.  I have been disappointed too many times.  We’ve all read the stories of well bred horses who were sold for exorbitant amounts and seemed to show so much promise, only to never win a race or only be able to compete at the bottom of the claiming ranks.  Many of these youngsters were bet heavily on their debuts.

On the other hand, they were often beaten by a horse who had several races and therefore, more experience and was able to capitalize on that fact.  Therefore, before betting a first time starter, give the horse dropping from maiden special weight races into maiden claiming races a second look and don’t forget the horses who have been competing for a while and getting tougher and wiser.  They are often the best bet.

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Bill Peterson has 1 articles online

If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com/sharpshooter2.html and get the truth. Bill Peterson is a former horse race owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill’s horse racing material go to Horse Racing Handicapping, Bill’s handicapping store.

Why is Horse Racing Handicapping So Difficult

If you’ve ever seriously tried to make a profit betting on horses, you’ve probably discovered that handicapping horse races is hard to do if you really want to make money.  You may have asked yourself why it’s so hard when it seems that it is so easy when you first start.  It appears that all you have to do is gather your information, and there’s plenty of it out there, then just find the best horse or horses and bet on them, right?

Horse racing handicapping depends on good information.  Using past performances, speed graphs, sire statistics, jockey statistics, trainer statistics, track models is how you determine which horse is the best.  But even with all that information, or perhaps because there’s so much information, it is extremely difficult to make a profit.  Of course, there’s the problem of over coming the vig, but we’ll save that rant for another horse racing article.

Statistics can tell us a lot of things and it seems that just putting them together should lead to winners.  For instance, the winner of 70% of the races is one of the top three horses with the fastest speed rating in its last race.  About 70% of the winners of horse races is one of the top 3 horses in the morning line.  Approximately 70% of winners are horses who are carrying the same weight or less.  The statistics go on and on.

Then why not just combined those statistics and apply them as filters to find the logical contenders?  For instance, if you use the three stats I just pointed out and looked for horses that qualified for all three conditions, wouldn’t that lead to some high probability bets?  Sorry to disappoint you, but even though it seems so logical, the answer is, “no.”

How can that be?  The problem is that there is more to finding good bets than putting together a few statistics.  For instance, there is the margin to be considered.  While the winner may be among the top three in the morning line about 70% of the time, what if the margin between the top horse is 1-1 to 3-1?  What if the margin between the top two horses is 2-1 to 5-2?  There is a big difference there and we wouldn’t expect the horse at 1-1 in the morning line to have the same chance of winning as the 2-1 horse in another race.

Therefore, we have to start weighting factors based on ratios and it gets complicated.  If the margin is too great, then that may skew our stats.  What if a horse has the fastest speed figure in its last race but isn’t in the top three in the morning line?  It can happen.  It would not qualify to be  contender if our selections were based on all three stats.  Would you want to leave such a horse out of your considerations?

Our next problem in horse racing handicapping is that not all races, distances, genders, ages are subject to the same filters.  Track models for different ages and distances point to much different running styles for winners so it becomes important to adjust our filters according to all of those considerations.  Is it any wonder that computer programs with their ability to handle many factors still can’t show us a profit?

Those are just some of the reasons that picking winners at the horse races is so difficult and why people who love an intellectual challenge enjoy it so much.  Can anyone make a profit at the track?  Yes, but as I’ve just pointed out, it isn’t easy.

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Bill Peterson has 1 articles online

If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com/sharpshooter2.html and get the truth. Bill Peterson is a former horse race owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill’s horse racing material go to Horse Racing Handicapping, Bill’s handicapping store.

Something Odd About Horse Racing Betting

If you’ve been wagering on horse races you know that there is something called odds that a lot of people seem to pay a lot of attention to.  While some folks think it is hard enough to figure out which horse will win the race and like to play that game, others are bargain hunters and will try to find the best odds on a horse that might win.

So which angle is right?  That depends on what you hope to accomplish at the race track or OTB parlor.  If you like solving crossword and logic puzzles, then you are definitely handicapper material and should focus on trying to find the fastest horse that is most likely to win.  On the other hand, if you like boasting to your friends that you bought something at cost and got a great bargain, then perhaps you should be shopping the toteboard for good odds on a horse.

It also depends on what your goal is when you go to the races.  Do you just want to have the thrill of seeing your horse go across the finish line first or would you rather have the thrill of leaving the place with a little more cash than you started with?  Maybe you are saying to yourself, Wait a minute, I want both!

It doesn’t matter which thrill you are seeking.  Either way, you are going to have to learn how to handicap horse races.  The reason is that people who handicap horse races have a pretty good idea of what each horse’s chances of winning might be.  If you know how likely a horse is to win the race, you can then decide whether or not the odds will lead to a profit.  It is simple mathematics, though making a profit at the races consistently is certainly not easy.

For instance, if you’re a good handicapper and win one out of three of your bets and only bet on horses at 4-1 or higher, you will make a good profit.  If there are ten races on the day’s program and you find 6 horses that are at suitable odds at post time for you to wager on, then you will cash a few winners and make a profit.  I’m not trying to be flippant or diminish the difficulty of trying to make a profit at the races, I am just illustrating how the whole struggle can be boiled down to a simple statement.

You may go to the horse races and bet any way you like.  You can choose your wages based on the runners names, the names of the jockeys, the color of the horses, the color of the jockey’s silks, or any other way that suits you.  You may win now and then, particularly the first time you go to the races, thanks to beginner’s luck, but if you keep going to the races, you will eventually have to learn how to read a program.

You will also have to learn how to form an opinion about a race and the horses in it.  When you get to that point, you’ll realize that what you are really doing is betting on your own opinions.  Of course, part of that opinion, if you’re smart, will be your opinion of what the horse will pay to win and whether that is a profitable bet.  That’s the odd thing about horse racing handicapping.

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Bill Peterson has 1 articles online

To see all Bill’s horse racing material go to Horse Racing Handicapping, Bill’s handicapping store. If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com/truecb.html and get the truth. Bill Peterson is a former horse race owner and professional handicapper.

Consulting the Experts for Horse Laying and Race Tips

Many of us feel inspired to take a punt on the horses from time to time, but for those of us who lack an expert’s knowledge on the various runners and riders, but who nonetheless wish to base our selection on more than pure guesswork, it can be a difficult business trying to make an educated guess as to which of the participants will triumph.

The racing press will provide us with some indicators.  From there we can learn which of the horses in a race have some kind of winning history, whether they are handicapped in any way, whether they are stepping up a class, or down as the case may be.  If we know a little the choice of jockey may provide some indication as to how serious the owners are about a particular race.  The name of the trainer too may help us to make a decision, or the distance the horse has travelled to get to the meeting.  All these factors and more can play a role in determining the likelihood of your horse of choice passing the post first.

All the same, if you are a mere novice you are at the end of the day still only guessing.  Bookmakers make lots of money from “experts” who have studied form and used sound information to reach entirely the wrong conclusion.

So if one is serious about trying to beat the odds and to select the winner it sometimes can be a good idea to invoke a little help, and invariably the best place to look is to somebody whose business it is to correctly predict the outcome of horse races and who can demonstrate a successful history of so doing.

There are numerous pundits willing to offer betting advice and race tips.  They range from the man in the pub who sits, beer on table, surrounded by discarded screwed up betting slips, to sophisticated websites resplendent with graphs, charts and scientific formulae.

Without exception, the only racing selections the wise punter will take any notice of will be those emanating from a source with a proven track record of success.  Whether you are horse betting or horse laying, betting to win or opting for the safety of an each way punt, ask to see the evidence that the tipster has some kind of history of getting it right.  Not all of the time, of course, but often enough to be able to demonstrate a clear profit.

Because if you are serious enough to consider betting as an income source, it is not the form of the horse that counts more than anything else but the form of the tipster.

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Mark Richards has 3 articles online

Mark Richards is General Manager of The Middle Man, a low-cost online marketing agency combining free ads with article writing and inbound links to drive traffic to its clients’ websites and customers to their doors.  He also publishes A Blog About SEO.

Sloppy Betting on Fast Tracks Leads to Horse Racing Profits

Last week I was very busy and had to rush to the track in order to make post time for the first race.  As I dashed in I saw that the 6 in the first race was at 7-1 and since it was one one of the top three horses in my list of contenders, I raced up to the window and just managed to get a win and place bet down along with an exacta key, top and bottom,  with my other two horses.

When I finally sat down and looked at my past performances, I groaned.  I looked at the 6 again and noticed for the first time that the jockey’s win average was only 4%.  I don’t like to bet on low percentage jockeys.  The starting gate opened before I could cancel my ticket.  I watched as the 6 broke to the lead and led almost to the wire, but was finally beaten by one of the other key horses.  I had a decent exacta and also a nice place payoff.

If I’d had the chance to get to the seller’s window and cancel the ticket, I would have done just that and missed a nice payoff and start to the day.  I had been rushed and sloppy in my preparation and wagering, but it worked out in my favor. Some would argue that it was just my lucky day, but I think there was a lesson to be learned from all this.

In my quest to cover all the bases I had become obsessive about too many things.  In order to get good payoffs on your bets you’re going to have to let your hair down and take a flyer on a horse that is less than perfect.  Sometimes there may be a flaw in the horses stats, connections, running style, but the odds are what really determine whether a runner is worth a bet. 

Every single entrant in a race has a chance to win. If you don’t believe that, get a month’s worth of results and look them over.  You will find that some races are won by the horse with the longest odds and other races are won by longshots that pay big.  Before the race was run, those horses appeared to have no chance.  Only the “Longshot Louies and Louisas,” backed them. 

Obviously, just playing any horse because the odds are long isn’t a good plan, but in the case of my bet, I did have reasons to back the 6.  It didn’t win but I still made a profit on it because of how I played it and because it managed to get into the exacta.  I’m not advising you to throw caution to the wind and to get too wild in your betting, but if the odds are right, you have to make compromises with your rules and guidelines for handicapping horse races and yes, sometimes you have to even get a little sloppy.

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Bill Peterson has 1 articles online

To see all Bill’s horse racing material go to Horse Racing Handicapping, Bill’s handicapping store. If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com/truecb.html and get the truth. Bill Peterson is a former horse race owner and professional handicapper.

Some Best Horse Racing Tips to Earn More and Losing Less

If you want to win more money on horse races, or stop to lose so much, here are some tips that can help. The first tip is more of a disclaimer. Perhaps you’ve heard it before the, but I want to repeat it before we get into the business of betting on horses. Here it is; horse racing is a risky business, and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose, because it is not absolutely sure thing.

We’ve gotten that out of the way now; here are tips to lose less. Start with a mentality that you go to check you money by doing simple things that will make automatic money management so you can focus your full energy on picking the winners. One way to do that is to only as much money as you can afford to lose in the race track. If you are betting, then a limit online to set for yourself and stick to it. This could mean that you have a small path next to the computer and keep your bets, the victories and losses on writing.

“Wait a minute, “you might say “I can only check my balance online, I don’t need anything as hokey as pad next to the computer to know how much I have spent.  “

You is right, in a way; you can don’t need to save it, as long as you don’t mind constantly clicking this button to check the balance. You will have to keep in the back of mind and it may hinder the process of thought, however. That which I like console simple and time idea. The right is easy to say and always at hand. You know you’ll be, how far in the future or back you are.

Now that we’ve got to limit losses taken care of, let’s talk about picking more winners. Betting on the long shots is a great way to hit winners and make serious money. Chasing horses at odds long because you want a high score is also a good way to go broke. After all, are long shots for a reason. Longshots which really win and make money are rare and you should have a system to rate horses at odds much to know those who have a chance.

I don’t say you shouldn’t bet the longshots, some of my best day at the races was thanks to the long bet on horses. I, however, recommend that you stick with horses in the middle of the odds for most of the game. Favorites just don’t pay enough to make them profitable and longshots win so rare that you need a sizable bankroll to hang in there. To actually make a profit and stay in the game, the middle class are the odds the best tips, most of the time.

In the United Kingdom and other parts of the world, Australia. Less emphasis is placed on the blinding speed or fast pace over long Gallops Green was used to create the Foundation for a good horse, while gradually leading runners to compete.

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paul adams has 9 articles online

Thanks for reading my article on horse racing tips. For more information and tips log on to http://www.justhorseracing.com.au

Horse Racing Handicapping Answers, Does Cold Weather Effect …

Is it wise to bet on horse races when the weather is extremely cold?  Does the cold effect how horses run?  We think of other weather events as affecting the races, but what about when Old Man Winter descends on the race track?  What does that do to our handicapping?

First of all, though their hair is short most of the time, let me assure you that horses are built for the cold.  First of all, just by the sheer size of them, they have enough bulk to hold body heat very well.  Secondly, if they are left without blankets in the winter, they build up a nice thick coat of fine hair under the outer layer of hair and it is a great insulator.

Looking around the world, for instance, to the steps of Asia where horses have been domesticated for thousands of years, we find horses living in extremely cold conditions and thriving.  So the short answer is that the cold won’t hurt the horses.  On the other hand, it may affect how they run.

Like any athletes, horse’s muscles have to be warmed up properly to avoid cramping and this is particularly true in the cold.  While early speed may hold up well on a warm day, there might be a slight drop off due to cold, but usually, if a horse has warmed up properly, it will carry its speed well through a race.  That is, of course, if it has the stamina and that is a matter of conditioning, not conditions.

I have noticed however, that on a day when the wind is blowing hard and it is extremely cold, horses making a turn into the wind sometimes seem to slow down or even stop.  Perhaps it is because they suddenly get a lungful of extra cold air that causes their muscles to cramp a little.

The real question to ask yourself when it is bitterly cold and the horses are racing is, “How will this affect the jockeys?”

They weigh little more than a hundred pounds and can’t bundle up.  They are racing along at 30 m.p.h. totally unprotected.  It is a wonder that they race at all under those conditions, but many of them do and manage to do a good job of it, too.  Perhaps, if you want to see if you can get a handicapping advantage in the cold weather, you should follow the jockeys and see if any of them ride better or worse in extreme temperatures.

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Bill Peterson has 1 articles online

If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com/truecb.html and get the truth. Bill Peterson is a former horse race owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill’s horse racing material go to Horse Racing Handicapping, Bill’s handicapping store.

Something Odd About Horse Racing Betting

If you’ve been wagering on horse races you know that there is something called odds that a lot of people seem to pay a lot of attention to.  While some folks think it is hard enough to figure out which horse will win the race and like to play that game, others are bargain hunters and will try to find the best odds on a horse that might win.

So which angle is right?  That depends on what you hope to accomplish at the race track or OTB parlor.  If you like solving crossword and logic puzzles, then you are definitely handicapper material and should focus on trying to find the fastest horse that is most likely to win.  On the other hand, if you like boasting to your friends that you bought something at cost and got a great bargain, then perhaps you should be shopping the toteboard for good odds on a horse.

It also depends on what your goal is when you go to the races.  Do you just want to have the thrill of seeing your horse go across the finish line first or would you rather have the thrill of leaving the place with a little more cash than you started with?  Maybe you are saying to yourself, Wait a minute, I want both!

It doesn’t matter which thrill you are seeking.  Either way, you are going to have to learn how to handicap horse races.  The reason is that people who handicap horse races have a pretty good idea of what each horse’s chances of winning might be.  If you know how likely a horse is to win the race, you can then decide whether or not the odds will lead to a profit.  It is simple mathematics, though making a profit at the races consistently is certainly not easy.

For instance, if you’re a good handicapper and win one out of three of your bets and only bet on horses at 4-1 or higher, you will make a good profit.  If there are ten races on the day’s program and you find 6 horses that are at suitable odds at post time for you to wager on, then you will cash a few winners and make a profit.  I’m not trying to be flippant or diminish the difficulty of trying to make a profit at the races, I am just illustrating how the whole struggle can be boiled down to a simple statement.

You may go to the horse races and bet any way you like.  You can choose your wages based on the runners names, the names of the jockeys, the color of the horses, the color of the jockey’s silks, or any other way that suits you.  You may win now and then, particularly the first time you go to the races, thanks to beginner’s luck, but if you keep going to the races, you will eventually have to learn how to read a program.

You will also have to learn how to form an opinion about a race and the horses in it.  When you get to that point, you’ll realize that what you are really doing is betting on your own opinions.  Of course, part of that opinion, if you’re smart, will be your opinion of what the horse will pay to win and whether that is a profitable bet.  That’s the odd thing about horse racing handicapping.

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Bill Peterson has 1 articles online

To see all Bill’s horse racing material go to Horse Racing Handicapping, Bill’s handicapping store. If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com/truecb.html and get the truth. Bill Peterson is a former horse race owner and professional handicapper.